I’m primarily focused on climate change, economic stratification, and
unchecked development, and in my view these share a common cause, which I call
growth-ism or growth-mania (after William R. Catton). Naomi Klein calls it
extractivism, but I consider this deceptive, because it leaves unchallenged an
escapist fantasy of non-extractive growth. Either humans are going to moderate
their demands, and learn to live within their means, or we simply won’t be
around.
99.9 percent of all the species that have ever existed are now extinct, and ultimately, (probably anaerobic) bacteria will
re-inherit Earth. There was never going to be a happy ending for us as a
species, any more than there is for us as individuals. We have no chance of
escaping, because there’s nowhere to escape to. Humans have always faced a tough
choice here, between surviving a while longer, and surviving less long. For my
entire adult life the trend has been moving inexorably towards less and I see no sign of a reversal; on the contrary we’re
accelerating rapidly in the wrong direction. The United Nations charter commits
us to keeping Earth habitable for humans indefinitely, but like so many of our
noble declarations this increasingly seems like a cruel joke.
I have less skin in the game than some of you, having long ago taken a
lifetime vow of non-procreation. In the not-so-distant future (paraphrasing
Nobody in “Dead Man”) this world will no longer concern me. I continue to work
to try and change the world for the better in small ways, but I have no
illusions about the larger trajectory. I won’t live to see the worst impacts of
climate change, because they will unfold over hundreds if not thousands of
years. Limiting global surface temperature increase to 2° C is a pipe dream;
that train already left the station. Yes it could theoretically be achieved with
sustained de-growth of 10% per annum, but that won’t happen barring
collapse of civilization. Some are rooting for collapse, but I’m committed to
preserving civilization for better or worse.
Albert Bartlett famously complained that “The greatest shortcoming of the
human race is our inability to understand the exponential function” and while I
sympathize, I see that the hard problems are all ethical, not scientific. Why
should people embrace disturbing truths instead of convenient fictions? Why
shouldn’t the rich live soft lives and be waited on hand and foot if they can
get away with it? Why shouldn’t the ruling class use force to take whatever it
wants? Why should people make sacrifices for the benefit of future generations?
Why should individual humans care what happens after they’re dead?
Humans could turn out to be great at science but lousy at ethics. Ultimately
our problems boil down to a tragic mismatch between our original evolutionary
environment and the environment we’ve created for ourselves through cultural
evolution. This is no fault of our own, and while I didn’t in the past,
increasingly I feel empathy for people. In our best moments we create inspiring
works of exquisite beauty. But psychologically we seem poorly equipped to handle
the hard truths of our existence, revealed in such vivid detail by science. I
don’t blame people for magical thinking–it’s built into our hardware–but the only way forward is for us to put childish
things aside, and reorganize our entire way of life around the seemingly
impossible challenges of long-term survival.
Many of the attributes that made us fit on the savannah have monstrous
consequences in the present. For example, we tend to focus on immediate threats
to the exclusion of all else, and I’m no exception. I will continue to direct my
energies towards preventing or limiting injustice in my local community, because
it immediately impacts my quality of life. I will also continue to take every
opportunity to shame public officials for their perversion of so many lofty
stated goals, an admittedly quixotic quest.
The harsh reality is that the super-rich are invading urban cores, in a
stunning reversal that few saw coming. One the few who did see it was Paul
Theroux. In his obscure dystopian novel “O-Zone” (1987) he predicted that the
“owners” would concentrate their power in gated citadels patrolled by
militarized private police, while simultaneously abandoning vast areas and
leaving the majority of the population to fend for themselves. This neo-feudal
vision has already been realized in Detroit and many other places, and it emerges
from a stage beyond gentrification, described by Simon Kuper as plutocratization in his seminal article “Priced
Out of Paris.”
Plutocratization has already occurred in Paris and London and San Francisco
and Brooklyn, it’s underway here in Boston, and the signs of it are everywhere.
The model is a live-in outdoor mall, disguised to look like a vibrant, quaint
community, with faux-Belle Epoch street lamps and continuous surveillance. This
is where the super-rich will make their stand, at least until things get really
rough and the more foresighted of them retreat to their luxury survival
condos. If Thomas Piketty is even half right, the 1% of humanity who own half the world’s wealth will continue to
maximize their profits until the bitter end.
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